Polymarket Trader

CrackAlex

0x8643d89c183d32158bb0e7d9f7b3c022fca585b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.44
Realized PnL: $5.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $12.44
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$342.56

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.64
Potential profit: $487.64
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.99
Potential profit: $443.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.28
Potential profit: $112.28
User PnL: -$47.72

Ducks position

Flames vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$50

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Manchester United WFC: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $23.93
User PnL: -$2.75

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.21
Potential profit: $10.21
User PnL: -$3.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.64

Colts position

Broncos vs. Colts

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.53

Yes position

Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on August 12 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 17?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.8

Over position

Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 52.5

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.97

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237

No position

Ethereum above $4400 on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.3

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $123k August 11–17?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $119K August 4–10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.45

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.04

Borges position

Australian Open Men's: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Drexel Dragons position

Drexel Dragons vs. Monmouth Hawks

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.19

Koelner Haie position

DEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. Koelner Haie

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.99

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.85

Blues position

Hurricanes vs. Blues

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.2

No position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.31

NJIT Highlanders position

NJIT Highlanders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.29

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.19

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.29

Shifters position

LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Yes 78.5% 266.65 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 55% 256.41 shares
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-11?

Yes 74% 5.36 shares
Flames vs. Ducks

Ducks 60% 83.33 shares
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings

Chennai Super Kings 38.5% 10.21 shares
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-11?

Yes 73.8% 20.15 shares
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?

Yes 42.5% 112.28 shares
FC Bayern München vs. Manchester United WFC: O/U 1.5

Under 11.5% 23.93 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 4.6% 217.39 shares
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-23?

Yes 55.4% 50.55 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 7.4% 270.25 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares