Polymarket Trader

0x864796112505fa75Ef02f302759c3211629Bd870-1759443649272

0x864796112505fa75ef02f302759c3211629bd870

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.15K
Realized PnL: $1.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $20.12

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.96K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.4K
Potential profit: $6.4K
User PnL: -$67.96

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $16.87
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$13.1

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.52K
User PnL: -$30.72

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $72.24
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.37K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $26.43

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $31.08
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$40.69

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $12.1
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $146.84
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $57
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $943
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $968.5
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $899.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $265.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $634.5
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $79.5

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $562.5
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $337.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$75.5

No position

Will Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $819.99
Potential profit: $819.99
User PnL: -$58.8

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $790.8
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $287.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $212.5
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $87.5

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.26
Potential payout: $488.53
Potential profit: $478.27
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $12.2
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $387.81
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$7.8

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $253.49
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $15.23
Potential payout: $287.3
Potential profit: $272.07
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $152.63
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $122.38
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $41.38

Yes position

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $119
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.08

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $147.57

No position

Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.18

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $57.43

No position

Will Juliano Floss be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $37.59

No position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $36.84

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $35.5

No position

Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.61

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $30.9

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $29.26

No position

Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.6%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $27.85

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $24.76

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: $23

No position

Will Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $22.8

Yes position

Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $21.77

No position

Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.66

No position

Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $20.53

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $19.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 29.99 shares
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

Yes 40% 25 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

No 36% 25 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 900 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

22% 45.45 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 3.7% 488.52 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 4.1% 22.95 shares
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 50 shares
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 5.8% 22.98 shares
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 57.8% 30 shares
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 90% 40.42 shares
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 78% 50 shares