Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.2
- Potential profit
- $58.2
- User PnL
- -$7.57
Polymarket Trader
chudswin.
0x86528013f24139f268c9e7e2bdcfdbc3548b3ce4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $198.53
- Realized PnL
- $8.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.35
- Potential profit
- $46.35
- User PnL
- -$6.07
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.47
- Potential profit
- $35.47
- User PnL
- -$13.48
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $32.46
- Potential profit
- $30.63
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $27.05
- Potential payout
- $27.16
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $21.3
- Potential payout
- $26.3
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $12.31
- Potential payout
- $25.12
- Potential profit
- $12.81
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $23.87
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.37
- Potential profit
- $22.37
- User PnL
- -$12.97
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $21.75
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $17.99
- Potential payout
- $19.09
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $18.71
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.38
- Potential profit
- $18.38
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Blue Jackets position
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.89
- Potential profit
- $17.89
- User PnL
- -$12.88
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $6.22
- Potential payout
- $17.78
- Potential profit
- $11.56
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will D.C. United SC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.67
- Potential profit
- $17.67
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.17
- Potential profit
- $17.17
- User PnL
- -$3.09
No position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.12
- Potential profit
- $17.12
- User PnL
- -$15.75
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.89
- Potential payout
- $16.9
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $16.13
- Potential payout
- $16.86
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.02K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.73
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.48
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.44
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.47
Yes position
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.81
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Yes position
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.48
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Will Ryan Seacrest say "New Year" or "New Year's" 30+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Yes position
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.27
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Penguins position
Golden Knights vs. Penguins
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 96% 50 shares
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes 99.6% 27.32 shares
- Will the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?No 96.9% 17.04 shares
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?No 45% 6.6 shares
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?No 45% 2.33 shares
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?No 45% 2.4 shares
- 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 90% by March 31?No 99.4% 16.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No 99.8% 13.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No 99.8% 6.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No 99.8% 6.39 shares
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 99% 27.16 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 91.8% 15.86 shares