Polymarket Trader

smith-dom

0x86538f8f4a2e614f897dbe6460c75c80f8470d6b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.96
Realized PnL: $30.17
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be between 600.0k and 650.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.58
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $31.22
Potential profit: $31.06
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.55

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $17.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

No 40% 39.35 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

No 40% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 50% 6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 48% 6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 59% 4.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 46% 4.99 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be between 600.0k and 650.0k on June 30?

Yes 3% 40 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?

Yes 2.8% 31.22 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

No 11% 20 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

No 10% 10 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

No 11% 20 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

No 10% 8.24 shares