Polymarket Trader

PerpetualReversoCalendar

0x86594264072ef46a693953adbdde01cc4e2d797d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.71K
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $31.07K
Potential payout: $33.59K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $423.81

No position

Will Sergio Busquets win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $204.62
Potential payout: $206.37
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $106.33
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.33

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $100.16
Potential payout: $104.71
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $53.01
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.01

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $48.99
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $51.73
Potential payout: $51.76
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.17
Potential profit: $32.17
User PnL: -$20

No position

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.93
Potential payout: $20.94
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $15.13
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $5.13

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $11.1
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $5.42
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.85

No position

Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.36

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.09

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.29

Yes position

Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.96

No position

Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.66

No position

Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.63

No position

Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

No position

Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 16-22?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 16-22?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.5% 104.71 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 54.35 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 6,847.83 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 2,608.7 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 163.04 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 95.6% 1.05 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

No 94.6% 21.14 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 94.5% 52.91 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.3% 5.42 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.6% 5.64 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 94% 1,063.83 shares