Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$329.99
Polymarket Trader
LordButcher
0x865d7db4a174367ab75a9b8f5d82a515eee816bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $609.5
- Realized PnL
- $7.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $452.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$274.05
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $346
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $54
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 16?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $685.15
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.12
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $605.45
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $586
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.01
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $417.24
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $396.16
Yes position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $385.83
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $266.19
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $257.67
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.26
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.68
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $245.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $230
No position
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.6
Cheddy position
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $204.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.01
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.4
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $180.2
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.51
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?Yes 94% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?Yes 94% 50 shares
- Will the announcers say "Pressure" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 65% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 68.7% 237.25 shares
- Will the announcers say "History" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?No 35% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 54% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?Yes 8% 50 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9?No 77% 200 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?Up 38% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.3% 200 shares
- Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?Up 76% 75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 21% 63.1 shares