No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$810
Polymarket Trader
ThamesRiver
0x86653d7be6190dadbe5df3a1ed3c94288f9b1b75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $249.61
- Realized PnL
- $101.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $194.56
- Potential payout
- $210.22
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$13.44
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $30.34
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $10 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $8.00 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
Will Chainlink dip to $6 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 8 above $20?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 13 above $205?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will XRP reach $1.50 on April 7?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $275?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $8.00?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of June?No 98.9% 33 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of June?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of June?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $8.00 end of June?No 99% 5 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of June?No 99% 5 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $10 end of June?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 21?No 99.9% 49.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of June?Yes 98.9% 210.22 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?No 98% 170 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?No 97% 84 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 8 above $20?Yes 99% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $245?No 99% 30 shares