Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $40.38
- Potential payout
- $26.92K
- Potential profit
- $26.88K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.44K
Polymarket Trader
MiserMaxxing
0x867149d900abf49270d9194900efc5e13e3ad4b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.49K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.62K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $6K
- Potential payout
- $25.82K
- Potential profit
- $19.82K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$245.27
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $12.04K
- Potential payout
- $21.31K
- Potential profit
- $9.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $530.53
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.55K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $15.92K
- Potential profit
- $13.93K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$570.83
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $5.29K
- Potential payout
- $14.1K
- Potential profit
- $8.81K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $211.52
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $6.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $199.93
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $92.89
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$155.07
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.23K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$86.76
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $164.98
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $38.33
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $325.52
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $61.11
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $432.9
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $321.9
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $166.97
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $390.57
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $776.36
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $465.82
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$329.18
No position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $21.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $856.48
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $440.6
- Potential payout
- $568.51
- Potential profit
- $127.91
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $43.04
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $41.67
- Potential payout
- $170.08
- Potential profit
- $128.41
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $7.65
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $1.63
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $801.13
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.06
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.13
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.3
No position
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.55
No position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $237.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.05
No position
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150.3
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $61.99
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.86
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Eastleigh FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$33.8
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$269.55
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.19K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 54% 21,306.31 shares
- Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 9,890.7 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 89% 1,242.18 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97.4% 5,554.96 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 15.1% 97.95 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 36% 14,101.5 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 15.4% 200 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 64.4% 3,096.14 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 54% 10,000 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 61% 2,230.55 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 16.5% 552 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 24.8% 8,755.07 shares