Polymarket Trader

VivianRonald

0x86729bd87ad5473b9b8f01110fc79f5002ba33db

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.44
Realized PnL: $19.41
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $20.8
Potential payout: $20.94
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $0.01

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$5

No position

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Solana all time high in Q4?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Solana dip to $30 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 78% 12.82 shares
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.3% 20.94 shares
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

No 95% 5.26 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

No 99.1% 5.05 shares
Will Solana dip to $30 in January?

No 99.9% 8.01 shares
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 90.7% 5.51 shares
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 98.2% 5.09 shares
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.6% 20.08 shares
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

No 97% 7.22 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

No 99.9% 15.02 shares
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?

No 99.6% 12.75 shares