Polymarket Trader

0x8673...d8f0

0x86739cac40d0d146fe2db98fc34e5ea81c92d8f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.91
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.52
Potential profit: $393.52
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.65
Potential profit: $350.65
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $189.78
Potential profit: $189.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.81
Potential profit: $168.81
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.7
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.32
Potential profit: $122.32
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $67.6
Potential profit: $67.3
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.8
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $41.45
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.84
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $37.54
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $37.73
Potential profit: $37.48
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $31.37
Potential profit: $31.07
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $25.18
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $25.78
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $15.83
Potential profit: $12.06
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $15.54
Potential profit: $15.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $14.79
Potential profit: $14.61
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $14.6
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $14.19
Potential profit: $14.12
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.69
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $8.89
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update