Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $63.6
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $39.18
Polymarket Trader
Elton123
0x8673e56b63b9cec4bbf96b4d4bd01a9333464025
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $217.07
- Realized PnL
- $1.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $34.91
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$19.09
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.34
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$12.91
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$20.88
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $936.93
- Potential profit
- $932.25
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $518.77
- Potential profit
- $510.47
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$18.58
Yes position
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $469.08
- Potential profit
- $467.67
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$12.72
Yes position
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $408.48
- Potential profit
- $406.03
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.08
Yes position
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $336.69
- Potential profit
- $335.84
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $290.51
- Potential profit
- $275.98
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $25.99
- Potential payout
- $199.91
- Potential profit
- $173.93
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.35
- Potential profit
- $186.35
- User PnL
- -$23.99
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $185.51
- Potential profit
- $179.66
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$18.48
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.35
- Potential profit
- $168.35
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.61
- Potential profit
- $133.61
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $130.13
- Potential profit
- $129.8
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.2
- Potential profit
- $121.2
- User PnL
- -$6.25
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $97.26
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $99.94
- Potential profit
- $94.44
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $95.83
- Potential profit
- $88.65
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $92.77
- Potential profit
- $90.55
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $91.56
- Potential profit
- $83.6
- Multiplier
- 11.51x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.94
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.6
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.13
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.55
No position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.98
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.21
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.52
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.42
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.73
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.05
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.29
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.81
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 37% 15.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 63% 15.1 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 83% 14.3 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 67% 29.9 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 21% 4.81 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 7% 14.43 shares
- Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.8% 134.05 shares
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 64% 46.2 shares
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 47% 61.6 shares
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 25% 12.48 shares
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 15% 27.27 shares