0x8676A91A3867878762Af6CB220991a7d87adc653-1770155241024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Doug Burgum be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.21
Potential profit: $156.21
User PnL: -$7.99

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $10.14
Potential payout: $55.87
Potential profit: $45.73
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.38
Potential profit: $54.38
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.73
Potential profit: $24.73
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.45
Potential profit: $21.45
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.27
Potential profit: $19.27
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.78
Potential profit: $17.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $10.3
User PnL: -$2.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.13

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Hornets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Dustin Jacoby win by KO or TKO?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?