EarlyHalo

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $269.26
Potential profit: $269.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $269.26
Potential profit: $269.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $57.89
Potential payout: $269.26
Potential profit: $211.37
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $47.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $269.26
Potential profit: $269.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $269.26
Potential profit: $269.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $16.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$7.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: -$9.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?