No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$389.17
Polymarket Trader
0x868aF871D90B2b3761cFDB1AD24ca3c7C39Dada6-1765082539204
0x868af871d90b2b3761cfdb1ad24ca3c7c39dada6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.68
- Realized PnL
- $21.93
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.73
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.78
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.87
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.69
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $89
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $89
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.15
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $88.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $89
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $87.61
- Potential profit
- $85.74
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $78.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $62.94
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $45.8
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $9.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $54.01
- Potential profit
- $53.55
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.84
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $29.87
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $26.74
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $27.31
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $23.38
- Potential profit
- $18.59
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $8.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 85% 10.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 85% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 97% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 87% 8 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 8% 516.75 shares
- Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.6% 144.13 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 41% 67.87 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 31% 30 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 8.3% 6.25 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 16% 613.4 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 27% 276.24 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.6% 420 shares