Polymarket Trader

Abellaswrench

0x86a23b4c3a1a2f1443ad6b620a4c6d23163100f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.24
Realized PnL: $7.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $22.16
Potential payout: $540.58
Potential profit: $518.42
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$22.84

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $385.42
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$18.75

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.85
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?

Ends Jan 18, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $44.15
Potential profit: $40.4
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$7.87

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.35
Potential profit: $16.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.66
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing 99.9% 37.97 shares
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Yes 39.5% 12.66 shares
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Yes 26% 76.92 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.8% 397.73 shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Yes 8.3% 416.66 shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Yes 12% 833.33 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing 79% 37.97 shares
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?

Yes 26.3% 44.15 shares
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?

Yes 30.6% 16.35 shares
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares

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