Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $128.64
- Potential payout
- $9.53K
- Potential profit
- $9.4K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$171.36
Polymarket Trader
0x86A53F577997ef5FAdeb3930Fad30d7d70cEd11A-1765947078598
0x86a53f577997ef5fadeb3930fad30d7d70ced11a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $236.05
- Realized PnL
- $3.86K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $107.41
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$392.58
No position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $525.63
- Potential profit
- $525.63
- User PnL
- -$77.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.06
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.73
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.5
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.95
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$133.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.1% 9,528.93 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 81% 15,648.08 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 85% 15,648.08 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 85% 6,666.66 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 89% 8,577.66 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 69.9% 8,577.66 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 60% 6,666.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 30.8% 13,579.43 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 34.9% 2,865.15 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 28% 10,714.29 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 72% 13,628.22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 66.8% 5,479.17 shares