No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $57.96
- Potential payout
- $386.37
- Potential profit
- $328.42
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$42.04
Polymarket Trader
0x86AAbf6780E3BD56c604683A9C991CDE4AfA8AED-1761163703670
0x86aabf6780e3bd56c604683a9c991cde4afa8aed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.96
- Realized PnL
- $27.29
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.42
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No 25.9% 386.37 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 99.7% 74.73 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 51% 39.22 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 49% 74.73 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 37.04 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 35% 14.29 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 41% 12.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 76% 26.32 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No 30% 133.33 shares