Polymarket Trader

0x86AaC2Dc1708b2b778D4507F9C5ba1058aD32682-1769308593364

0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.37
Realized PnL: $15.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $9.1
Potential profit: $6.55
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 21, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $6.72
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.42
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $3.78
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $3.42
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Solana dip to $50 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $2.98
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Evo Morales arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $2.48
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $2.48
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42
Potential profit: $2.42
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Real Madrid?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Evo Morales arrested by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 42% 7.14 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 59% 1.69 shares
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 2.1 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 3.23 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 98.1% 1.12 shares
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 98% 1.02 shares
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 93% 1.08 shares
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 1.13 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

No 99.7% 1.02 shares
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 1.05 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares