Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Z-error
0x86b3c567d750a02b02fd8542b222fd6a31528122
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.43
- Realized PnL
- $6.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $16.9
- Potential profit
- $5.83
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $5.97
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.38
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 37% 2.7 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 74% 5.41 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Yes 80% 5 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 73% 4.11 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 71% 2.82 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 82% 2.44 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 81% 18.52 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 71% 16.9 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 5.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 59% 3.39 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 78% 6.41 shares