Polymarket Trader

k78

0x86ba006b3a1f8e87985abda6575cfface6023191

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $160.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.26
Potential profit: $35.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.01

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.68

Yes position

Will Corey Boyd be captured by Friday?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.22

Yes position

Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.07

No position

Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.86

No position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.63

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Will FDP be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Leo Tate be captured by Friday?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

No 80% 5.81 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

No 79% 7.04 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

No 71% 7.04 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Yes 39% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Yes 92% 6.48 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Yes 26% 11.54 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares