Polymarket Trader

0x86c105E55a22866EB1AcBcD1BC6Ea8AAe18f8c40-1772493091807

0x86c105e55a22866eb1acbcd1bc6ea8aae18f8c40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.28
Realized PnL: $2.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.89
Potential profit: $125.89
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $11.31
Potential payout: $70.66
Potential profit: $59.35
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.94
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $50.88
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $49.97
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $39.32
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.86

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.47
Potential profit: $28.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $26.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

Yes 17.6% 28.47 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

No 25% 40 shares
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 99.8% 12.19 shares
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 7.5% 67.06 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Yes 16.7% 30 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Yes 24.6% 40.66 shares
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 82% 12.2 shares

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