Polymarket Trader

zcf1

0x86c8aa9a80a425453a7bbf287a36e4b23355a09d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $193.97
Realized PnL: $408.36
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $12.21
Potential payout: $739.91
Potential profit: $727.7
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $34.35
Potential payout: $618.96
Potential profit: $584.6
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $61.15
Potential payout: $256.92
Potential profit: $195.78
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: $24.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.15
Potential profit: $226.15
User PnL: -$8.98

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.4
Potential profit: $156.4
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.32
Potential profit: $144.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $58.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 710.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 1,011.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 108.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 423.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 902.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 6% 165.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 1,119.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2% 500.6 shares