Polymarket Trader

Elephantnose

0x86c9b27ddb13e23bf4f4e249dabeb5ae594907bb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.72
Realized PnL: $36.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.81K
User PnL: -$15.26

No position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $71.18
Potential payout: $71.86
Potential profit: $0.68
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.95
Potential profit: $15.95
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will Byrna Technologies (BYRN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Applied Digital (APLD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Wilson position

Who will start week 7 for the Steelers?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Bryce Mitchell be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Democrats win between 60 and 64 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 98.8% 71.86 shares
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99.7% 4,502.53 shares
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 99.9% 3,499.59 shares
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99.6% 7,147.14 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

No 99.9% 1,206.27 shares
Negative GDP growth in 2025?

No 99.9% 1,001 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 99.9% 1,001 shares
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 99.7% 1,003.01 shares
Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

No 99.8% 1,001.65 shares
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

No 99.9% 1,401.4 shares
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 99.9% 1,501.5 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 99.9% 2,002 shares