No position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Polymarket Trader
freedomsiiww
@LoveArtisP
0x86cbb893703fa7d496620a185a17ce41e2d96c6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.47
- Realized PnL
- $2.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $295.35
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $147.9
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$38.05
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $149.17
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$23.17
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $79.91
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $79.98
- Potential profit
- $79.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $53.27
- Potential profit
- $52.52
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Twins position
Twins vs. Tigers
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $782.91
No position
Will Nice beat Real Sociedad?
Ends Sep 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.79
Yes position
Will FCSB beat FK RFS?
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.17
No position
Scorigami in Week 3?
Ends Sep 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.23
Yes position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Roma?
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.86
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.7
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.39x
- User PnL
- $39.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.75
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the VOOI public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8
Yes position
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.65
No position
Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.25
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes 42.6% 250 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 25% 50 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 74% 50 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 46.1% 20 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?Yes 48% 50 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes 97.7% 200 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?No 91% 50 shares
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes 31.7% 11.86 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 21.3% 18.9 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 22% 10.18 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 78% 73.13 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 79% 50 shares