Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $973.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
IlIIllIIIllIIl
0x86cd93526a4e7ad201ed3d1c6f2647b61837504c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $56.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $48.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53K
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $979.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.02
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No 96% 50 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?No 93% 615.5 shares
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes 93.8% 2,438.43 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes 9% 1.18 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes 71% 49.4 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes 72% 25.22 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes 94% 1,662.87 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes 91% 181.1 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes 89% 32.88 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes 91% 102.92 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 13.5% 38,963.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 50.6% 2,118.25 shares