Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Polymarket Trader
mtyreshia
0x86d4e2738ea5c4a2487e471ac2f3f6d23b6be5c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 51 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 51 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 83 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 20% 133 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 19% 93 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 49% 7 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 36 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.5% 65 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 44 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.7% 11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.3% 11 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 5.1% 46 shares