Polymarket Trader

0x86D946EFDF6E19bc4371557028068BAAEB89da52-1760120248273

0x86d946efdf6e19bc4371557028068baaeb89da52

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.41
Realized PnL: $0.19
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.09
Potential profit: $11.09
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.98
Potential profit: $8.98
User PnL: -$1.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 21% 8.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 82% 2.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Up 99% 9.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Up 99% 9.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET

Up 62% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET

Down 29% 8.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET

Up 61% 1.64 shares
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 89.5% 3.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET

Up 72% 1.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET

Down 45% 8.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6PM ET

Up 0.5% 46.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6PM ET

Up 2% 46.47 shares