Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Polymarket Trader
0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112
0x86dd5200572b3eae548d8fd9e807b78468d41af2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.27
- Realized PnL
- $462.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump say "Muscle" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $17.26
- Potential payout
- $21.18
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $11.21
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $16.41
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.31
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Satan" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.9
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Remote IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.8
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Canva IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.8
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.63
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $13.37
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Celonis IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $18.57
- Potential profit
- $15.41
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $18.55
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $18.49
- Potential profit
- $14.89
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $17.48
- Potential profit
- $13.72
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $14.52
- Potential payout
- $17.39
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $17.03
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $16.96
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $16.42
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $16.3
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $16.11
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.87
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.04
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.16
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.49
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.12
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.06
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $20.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.02
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $18.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.44
Yes position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $15.96
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.85
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.66
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.66
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.28
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.9% 10 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No 4% 19.45 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.1% 10 shares
- Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No 64% 10 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 86% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 63% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 23.6% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 35% 5 shares