Polymarket Trader

wasGuessingAllAlong

0x86ec42a1a4555eb491e25d714d7daa35bc4bdcc2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.61
Realized PnL: $995.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $577.32
Potential profit: $577.32
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$77.7

Yes position

Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $81.97
Potential profit: $72.3
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $26.78
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $13.22
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $10.46
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $8.06
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.2

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.06

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.49

Yes position

Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.59

No position

Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.39

Yes position

Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Yes position

Will $BONK be listed first on Robinhood?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Yes position

Ripple above $2.40 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by Sunday?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.34

No position

Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.02

No position

Will Kamala say "AI" during her Nevada speech?

Ends Sep 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 17% 20 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65.3% 40 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 30 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Yes 41% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Up 4.3% 577.32 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 70 shares
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 66% 20 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.2% 81.97 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 54% 18.52 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 68.49 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?

Yes 83% 84.34 shares