Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $103.11
- Potential profit
- $99.51
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Polymarket Trader
YVK85
@vft4kybfbj
0x86f72095e45f9537a66ff54246ee3d16eedc16ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.06
- Realized PnL
- $186.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.92
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $26.18
- Potential profit
- $21.56
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $18.69
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- Multiplier
- 2.95x
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $10.93
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$4
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $5.64
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.66
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Down position
XRP Up or Down - December 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 3.9% 103.11 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 21% 14.29 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No 35.4% 5.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 10.7% 18.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 5% 40 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.1% 26.18 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes 42% 9.52 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 99.9% 30.3 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 33% 30.3 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 58% 8.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 99% 2.12 shares