No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $155.46
- Potential payout
- $166
- Potential profit
- $10.54
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.38
Polymarket Trader
0x870100FeB09dBC8522BA2915C8b74A5Bb7dE4F43-1744579890494
0x870100feb09dbc8522ba2915c8b74a5bb7de4f43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $173.96
- Realized PnL
- $261.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.53
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 34 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.7% 20 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 99.9% 270.27 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsG2 28% 25 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsG2 20% 25 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsG2 39% 21.97 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsG2 91% 10.99 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsG2 91% 10.99 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 74% 270.27 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 80% 20 shares
- US x China Military clash before 2027?No 89% 20 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes 92.6% 107.95 shares