No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $148
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $52
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $50
Polymarket Trader
xfm-4-8
0x87030b5399c67a076a53a1719e6c1f6b4d96099a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $148
- Realized PnL
- $88.65
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.4
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.5
No position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$41.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 49% 200 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 78% 290 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 63% 290 shares
- Brex IPO before 2027?No 93% 150 shares
- Brex IPO before 2027?No 93.4% 150 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No 98.3% 180 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No 90% 180 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?No 83.1% 150 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 89% 190 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 88% 190 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 42 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 42 shares