Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.66K
- Potential profit
- $9.66K
- User PnL
- -$694.68
Polymarket Trader
Oleg3
0x870535b39b1f8902a3be94f15158b39961058354
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.55K
- Realized PnL
- $15.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $198.05
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $81.55
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$170.33
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $241.27
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $168.34
Yes position
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$47.5
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $576
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $624
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $940
- Potential profit
- $940
- User PnL
- -$300.8
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $829.53
- Potential profit
- $829.53
- User PnL
- -$91.25
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $773.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $26.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $113.2
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $260
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $539.99
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$151
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$36.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $213.49
- Potential payout
- $699.96
- Potential profit
- $486.48
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Yes position
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $12.71
- Potential payout
- $605
- Potential profit
- $592.3
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$7.49
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $345.01
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $476.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $123
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $258.97
- Potential payout
- $458.44
- Potential profit
- $199.47
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$61.59
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $399.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $123.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $397.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- $21.8
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $384.77
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $15.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $21.4
Yes position
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.33
- Potential profit
- $331.33
- User PnL
- -$33.81
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $219
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $290.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $491.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.96
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $361.94
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $276.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $270.94
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.97
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $227.41
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.96
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.99
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.16
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $150.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.03
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.48
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.35
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 70% 251.02 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 73.2% 499.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 137.29 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 24% 214.89 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 25% 204.6 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.6% 275.64 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.6% 300 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 70% 202.42 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 66% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 13% 287.18 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 9.7% 55 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 661.66 shares