No position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $131.67
- Potential payout
- $131.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.01
Polymarket Trader
yieldjester
0x87099804881c89b0559bfeeb869a73b6c1b2d3d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $847.03
- Realized PnL
- $7.46
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $122.91
- Potential payout
- $122.91
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $89.68
- Potential payout
- $89.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $82.82
- Potential payout
- $82.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.14
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $80.55
- Potential payout
- $80.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $55.77
- Potential payout
- $58.19
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $39.18
- Potential payout
- $53.3
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.01
- Potential payout
- $48.12
- Potential profit
- $29.11
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $43.87
- Potential payout
- $46.42
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $42.43
- Potential payout
- $45.87
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $40.15
- Potential payout
- $43.4
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $35.72
- Potential payout
- $39.26
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $35.27
- Potential payout
- $36.6
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown 11% 4.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 25% 3.57 shares
- Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No 93% 36.6 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No 95% 28 shares
- Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No 93% 39.26 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 95% 82.7 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 85% 58.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 96.3% 122.91 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 93% 89.68 shares
- Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No 98.5% 131.67 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 61% 48.12 shares
- Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No 69% 53.3 shares