No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Polymarket Trader
0x8709...1e9b
0x8709b4f8d1e9ae24ae18146b2b119c96c0601e9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $25.48
- Realized PnL
- $0.87
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Y
Yes position
Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $7.62
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $355 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes 38% 7.87 shares
- Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in June?Yes 29% 8 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 28% 6.75 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 63% 7.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 49% 15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 65% 7.62 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26% 9 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $355 Week of July 6 2026?No 25% 6.6 shares