Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.89
- Potential profit
- $22.89
- User PnL
- -$11.22
Polymarket Trader
RareMonk
0x870a150763136919c1f30be751c54df6a1bcbd43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.65
- Realized PnL
- $9.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $11.77
- Potential payout
- $22.86
- Potential profit
- $11.09
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $11.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.75
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- User PnL
- -$11.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$11.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.6
- Potential profit
- $22.6
- User PnL
- -$11.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.42
- Potential profit
- $22.42
- User PnL
- -$10.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.31
- Potential profit
- $22.31
- User PnL
- -$10.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.15
- Potential profit
- $22.15
- User PnL
- -$10.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $11.49
- Potential payout
- $22.1
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.1
- Potential profit
- $22.1
- User PnL
- -$10.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.48
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $432.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11AM ET
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.49
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.83
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.29
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.61
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.02
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.21
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on India next?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.25
Yes position
US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.29
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.19
Yes position
China-Vietnam trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.94
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.07
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.68
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.93
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.96
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.78
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.89
CTBC position
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOI
Ends Jul 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.55
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 49% 22.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown 49% 9.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 49% 19.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETDown 49% 17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown 49% 21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown 59% 23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 49% 22.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown 49% 22.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown 49% 22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETDown 49% 10.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETDown 53% 22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 58% 22 shares