No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- -$230.79
Polymarket Trader
knalkfn
0x87142fefee086f6266791a8cb2e44a2a01f4eeb8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $971
- Realized PnL
- -$26.35
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $355
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$126.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $616
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $984
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$152
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$71
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.67
- Potential profit
- $716.67
- User PnL
- -$172
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.77
- Potential profit
- $277.77
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$45.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.6
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$33.8
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$38.4
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.79
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$62.95
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$103.25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$103.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 47% 600 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 2,629.61 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 49% 600 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 12% 1,660.8 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 48% 400 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 2,067.01 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.6% 1,199.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 1,400 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 1,400 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 400 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 300 shares