Polymarket Trader

noslajre

0x87311fcc3bfefe5a6a29987d825bf9be0f591181

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.65K
Realized PnL: $95.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $299.93
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $296.4

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $598
Potential payout: $598
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $137.48

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $569.83
Potential payout: $581.46
Potential profit: $11.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $115.47

Yes position

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $532.98
Potential profit: $529.51
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $343.52
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.08

Yes position

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $342.9
Potential profit: $340.33
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1

No position

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $272.37
Potential payout: $304.32
Potential profit: $31.95
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $27.54

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $256.98
Potential profit: $255.06
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $198.49
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $196.09
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.1

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $135.96
Potential payout: $184.98
Potential profit: $49.02
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $182
Potential profit: $180.82
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $175.23
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $174.87
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$5.97

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $179.99
Potential profit: $173.78
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$3.27

No position

Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $136.65
Potential payout: $163.65
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $143.06
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.07
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $47.69
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.12K

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.7K

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96K

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99K

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51K

No position

Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Yes position

Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

No position

BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 17-18m?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

No position

Will George Simion win by 12–18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Doge ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $915.44

No position

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $875.01

No position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $869.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

No 99.7% 2.18 shares
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 17.4% 70 shares
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 18% 80 shares
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 18% 100 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 93% 622.38 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

No 73.2% 199.99 shares
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

No 82.8% 40 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 89.1% 1,372.57 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 100 shares
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 47% 27.39 shares
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?

No 20.9% 380 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 946.36 shares