No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.92K
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $638.89
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$83.33
Polymarket Trader
leonsimessi
0x8732d1526508d02bc8421fc8ef3f9def01567a34
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.35K
- Realized PnL
- $5.39K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $994.05
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $196.43
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $439.81
- Potential payout
- $632.92
- Potential profit
- $193.1
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$60.19
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.56
- Potential profit
- $85.56
- User PnL
- -$13.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.37
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.08
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.17
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.99
Yes position
Will Chelsea beat PSG?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$79.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 99.9% 118.93 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 84% 1,190.48 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 5,555.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown 79.1% 1,226.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown 79% 1,226.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 72.2% 735.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 42.2% 902.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 39.2% 1,361.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 92.3% 1,071.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 80.9% 1,238.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 86.5% 1,098.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown 90% 1,095.29 shares