Polymarket Trader

holdbtc

0x8734e1b2e0d024659166df5ee945de10c53b36b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.38
Realized PnL: $34.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.42
Potential profit: $19.42
User PnL: -$12.62

No position

Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.02
Potential payout: $16.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.01
Potential payout: $13.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.04
Potential payout: $11.04
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.97
Potential profit: $9.97
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $4.62
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.6
Potential profit: $4.6
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Blackhawks position

Jets vs. Blackhawks

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Warriors position

Heat vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Indiana position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Blue Jays position

Mariners vs. Blue Jays

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.6%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 2.2 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 63% 3.17 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 61% 3.28 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 4.41 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 2.94 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 3.37 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 62% 3.23 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 87% 4.6 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 4.62 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 58% 3.45 shares
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.9% 16.02 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 99.2% 13.1 shares