Polymarket Trader

luukdao

0x874aeebb8791ab80ccf433939882a55d0e26d584

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $565.94
Realized PnL: $7.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $16.84
Potential payout: $571
Potential profit: $554.16
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$57.39

No position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $473.6
Potential payout: $488
Potential profit: $14.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $68.56

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $264
Potential profit: $231
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$59.4

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $40.43
Potential payout: $231
Potential profit: $190.58
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$3.47

No position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Colorado State Rams position

Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $790.54

Yes position

Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $667.44

Yes position

Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.34

Yes position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $435.27

San Diego Toreros position

San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.11

No position

Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.84

Yes position

Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.76

Over position

US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.32

Yes position

Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.76

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $184.12

No position

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $108.54

Yes position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.76

Yes position

Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.41

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.57

No position

Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.93

No position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.57

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $62.07

Yes position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $58.87

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.76

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.3

No position

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $52.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

No 32% 143 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

No 32% 258 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

No 31% 556 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

No 31% 441 shares
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

No 84% 524 shares
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

No 84% 547 shares
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

No 84% 548 shares
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 87% 13 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

No 35% 1,398 shares
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 79% 153 shares
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 78% 129 shares
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 78% 282 shares