Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $108.39
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Polymarket Trader
0x8756...aea3
0x8756493fb973a95ee91512038c178c96d6bcaea3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $93.87
- Realized PnL
- $356.52
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $88.66
- Potential profit
- $86.62
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $39.13
- Potential profit
- $38.31
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$8.18
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $35.4
- Potential profit
- $32.37
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.17
- Potential payout
- $20.08
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $18.18
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.18
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $15.84
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $13.18
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.18
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $11.89
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $12.14
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.3%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $12.32
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $12.16
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.09
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.09
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.57
Yes position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.35
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.74
Over position
Minaur vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
No position
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Will Trump say "Corn" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Under position
Diallo vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Trump say "Dog" or "Doggy" this week? (February 1)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?No 24% 16.67 shares
- Will Trump say "UFC" this week?No 22% 9.09 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 31.2% 19.23 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 40.6% 12.32 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 16% 18.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 50% 10 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 35.4 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 1.8% 56.24 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24?Yes 20% 9.94 shares
- Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Yes 3% 76.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes 18% 5.56 shares