Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.34
- Potential profit
- $133.34
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Polymarket Trader
Leisana
@van_quila
0x875879d89ca21729511338e762324ec50f2e6122
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.14
- Realized PnL
- $97.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.69
- Potential profit
- $10.69
- User PnL
- -$7.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $8.88
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.93
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $8.48
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
St. Louis Cardinals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Cleveland Guardians position
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?No 90% 8.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 12?No 99% 10.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 12?No 99.9% 9.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?No 99.9% 7.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?No 99.9% 0.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?No 98.1% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 12?No 99% 7.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 12?No 98% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 12?No 90% 6.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?No 76% 7.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?No 98% 6.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?No 88% 6.96 shares