Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.54
- Potential profit
- $70.54
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Bailea
0x8764446d0e154c14f3dd5cb9bcb5d51aec21c3fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.69
- Realized PnL
- -$11.05
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.27
- Potential profit
- $18.27
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $14.69
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Suns position
Suns vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Spurs position
Bulls vs. Spurs
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$15.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.9% 15.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp 42.5% 70.54 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.6% 668.69 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.9% 668.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88% 132.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 132.89 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 98.3% 9.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes 23% 17.54 shares
- Bulls vs. SpursSpurs 95% 5.25 shares
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns 86% 3.46 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 97.4% 3.8 shares