No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Ipredictthemarket
0x8782bb51e96f71ea4f9624231a4a2f85c207456e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.85
- Realized PnL
- $293.07
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $715.33
- Potential profit
- $712.11
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $614.29
- Potential profit
- $614.29
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $524.39
- Potential profit
- $524.39
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $47.69
- Potential payout
- $427.73
- Potential profit
- $380.03
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$19.31
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.32
- Potential profit
- $337.32
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $51.47
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $242.65
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $41.47
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.95
- Potential profit
- $280.95
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $46.01
- Potential payout
- $200.48
- Potential profit
- $154.47
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $11.01
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.67
- Potential profit
- $186.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $122.94
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $95.7
- Potential profit
- $92.97
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $40.38
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $36.54
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $30.38
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $67.14
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.42
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.07
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.47
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or more in January?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.23
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.62
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.2% 70.42 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.9% 78.21 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 154.32 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.9% 44.69 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 92.59 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 216.67 shares