Maja Chwalinska position
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $11.12
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x878526AA57910B49b0D4095DBa385EBf09007278-1774573778953
0x878526aa57910b49b0d4095dba385ebf09007278
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.51
- Realized PnL
- $265.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $8.79
- Potential payout
- $8.86
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $7.42
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $2.36
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.2
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.29
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.19
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.87
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.82
Diane Parry position
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.1
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
NRG Esports position
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.87
Jan-Lennard Struff position
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
MOUZ position
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Anna Kalinskaya position
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 4 Winner
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes 66% 3.03 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?Yes 68% 2.94 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?Yes 68% 2.94 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 60% 1.4 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 4.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 93.6% 2.14 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 93.6% 2.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 58.82 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 4.65 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 84% 2.38 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 92.6% 2.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 92.6% 2.16 shares