Polymarket Trader

MelH

0x878a4fa0882e7638369caf9198c4d08cc9d9a429

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $255.1
Realized PnL: $25.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $980
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $987.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $21.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $978.6
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Tunisia vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $35.2
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $464.8
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$19.3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $471.25
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $4.25

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.5

Under position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $71.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $71.5

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Over position

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

Kyoji Horiguchi position

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.5

Allan Nascimento position

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Over position

O/U 4.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $942.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $938.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $799.02

Under position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.26

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $718.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $650.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $605.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Spain 72% 100 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5

Over 13% 100 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5

Over 1.1% 10 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5

Over 6% 100 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5

Over 2% 100 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5

Over 5% 100 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Over 13% 100 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?

Yes 7.5% 500 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 500 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Navajo Stirling 99.9% 50 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5

Under 99.9% 499.99 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5

Under 18.5% 500 shares