No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.65K
- Potential payout
- $29.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.65K
Polymarket Trader
hosoon123
0x879247bf7570a40d193dd3bb9118820e0b194174
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.78K
- Realized PnL
- $20.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.58K
- Potential profit
- $19.58K
- User PnL
- -$17.75K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.05K
- Potential profit
- $11.05K
- User PnL
- -$8.31K
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $7.48K
- Potential payout
- $8.41K
- Potential profit
- $924.58
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $922.04
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.24K
- Potential payout
- $5.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $464.21
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $403.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$707.29
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $878.05
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $733.05
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$233.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450.34
- Potential profit
- $450.34
- User PnL
- -$184.17
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $162.01
- Potential payout
- $167.97
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $29.95
- Potential payout
- $29.98
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$15.08
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $19.68
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.38
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.69
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.07
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.84
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.56
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.19
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.18
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.68
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 98.3% 11.12 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 40% 105 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 98.3% 12.74 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 98.3% 74.24 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 98.3% 19.87 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 19?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 35% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 35% 510 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 93% 28.57 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 37% 67 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38% 1,581.25 shares