No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398.54
- Potential profit
- $398.54
- User PnL
- -$59
Polymarket Trader
nancydr3w
0x879409d01537e2b2f77f81106b6740440f1920b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.54
- Realized PnL
- $193.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $166.54
- Potential payout
- $208.17
- Potential profit
- $41.63
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.41
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.67
- Potential profit
- $46.67
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.55
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No 69% 128 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95.5% 93.58 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 50 shares
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No 68% 29.8 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 5 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 7.5% 27.02 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 41% 2.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 6% 22.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.9% 31.5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 6% 4.34 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 12% 15.62 shares