Polymarket Trader

singularityman

0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.74K
Realized PnL: $59.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $20.63K
Potential payout: $22.54K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.55K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $8.49K
Potential payout: $15.86K
Potential profit: $7.38K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.15K

Yes position

Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.66K
Potential profit: $9.66K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.73K
Potential profit: $5.73K
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $5.64K
User PnL: -$153.97

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.35K
User PnL: -$684.17

Yes position

Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$516.73

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88K
Potential profit: $4.88K
User PnL: -$305.18

No position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $502.65

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$166.2

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$56.71

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $3.38K
User PnL: -$2.05K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$97.94

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$93.35

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
User PnL: -$797.01

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
User PnL: -$1.12K

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$787.14

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$948.98

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$83.3

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$292.03

No position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$556.54

Yes position

Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$117.92

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$126.24

Yes position

Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$71.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.02K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44K

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

No position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $967.38

Yes position

Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 Virginia governor election between 7:00 PM and 7:59 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $862.81

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $855.13

Yes position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.55

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $693.95

No position

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 59% 1,361.86 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 60% 414.1 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 60% 336.74 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 60.2% 322.95 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 62.3% 113 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 69.5% 1,137.84 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 83% 2,127 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84% 3,671.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 86% 505 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 44% 80 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 44% 1,052 shares